Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 2624.569698 2841.207283 3060.843401 3299.882777 3552.394811 3810.898299 4095.225508
2025-01-12 2262.286535 2583.536385 2921.675831 3302.924767 3719.608098 4160.002031 4659.438252
2025-01-19 1959.571256 2333.459615 2738.573509 3207.692163 3733.476477 4302.162088 4961.261491
2025-01-26 1851.119365 2278.150663 2751.415442 3310.775374 3949.703590 4652.714575 5480.566732
2025-02-02 1744.644212 2211.945906 2740.421658 3376.413418 4114.973024 4939.685707 5924.098453
2025-02-09 1617.654219 2110.714120 2679.230633 3375.187566 4195.951906 5125.040990 6247.881689
2025-02-16 1494.653230 2005.071097 2604.632054 3350.543426 4243.014174 5266.114037 6516.730171
2025-02-23 1418.131457 1950.153814 2585.473289 3387.148564 4358.438741 5484.059384 6873.433404
2025-03-02 1329.667796 1874.680293 2536.319398 3382.985315 4421.458873 5637.710151 7153.092761
2025-03-09 1275.275123 1838.582914 2532.522732 3431.543940 4546.113982 5863.478732 7518.137907
2025-03-16 1190.586848 1758.738090 2469.829948 3403.333147 4573.908033 5970.877792 7740.427363
2025-03-23 1154.514367 1740.195423 2482.871292 3468.422441 4715.719949 6215.850828 8128.978814
2025-03-30 1099.084763 1694.207781 2459.837750 3487.941430 4802.214776 6396.212751 8443.891335
2025-04-06 1040.701926 1641.405997 2425.643280 3491.350570 4867.417488 6550.310699 8727.761068
2025-04-13 946.506398 1534.465888 2315.609849 3392.132455 4798.555551 6535.281517 8801.086581
2025-04-20 937.286214 1545.875256 2363.264959 3499.530036 4994.682057 6851.852967 9286.967551
2025-04-27 914.521855 1536.595339 2381.911545 3567.896535 5140.381201 7105.758234 9696.365459
2025-05-04 868.584481 1491.551191 2349.697254 3566.619856 5194.294903 7243.136378 9960.018724
2025-05-11 817.326374 1436.181339 2300.941435 3540.952880 5214.557446 7336.618476 10167.912939
2025-05-18 790.283110 1415.539667 2299.661382 3579.076568 5318.648252 7537.448990 10512.546677
2025-05-25 751.318152 1374.963324 2268.527941 3574.740829 5365.202224 7663.741427 10762.462339
2025-06-01 731.509195 1362.837662 2277.344490 3625.307803 5485.262016 7885.602177 11135.751446
2025-06-08 688.978630 1313.249835 2230.177420 3595.931163 5496.135050 7964.567837 11325.150130